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Red50
372919.4
225919.2
141031.5
Blue56
203646.0
429328.5
958627.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631070501505056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
30Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
50Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#23
31.50.8
25.424.6
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End2.9
blue by 14.6
2036
#15
46.02.3
40.237.9
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
Second
3729
#47
19.41.3
21.119.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.6
blue by 9.2
4293
#27
28.52.3
24.622.2
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End0.4
Third
2259
#44
19.21.3
15.514.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 8.4
9586
#17
27.73.9
26.422.5
Auto2.5
Teleop23.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed