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Red132
449971.9
203646.0
833433.3
Blue117
161965.1
462436.5
858421.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710950100150200132117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+13Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points24
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +1
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
62Total teleop63
Reef
10L4#4
5L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
12Foul points18
132Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.90.3
60.360.0
Auto19.7
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 6.9
65.10.8
58.457.6
Auto16.5
Teleop40.3
End8.2
Second
2036
#15
46.00.3
39.038.7
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
red by 9.5
4624
#19
36.51.0
24.923.9
Auto9.8
Teleop25.6
End1.2
Third
8334
#20
33.30.5
20.019.5
Auto4.5
Teleop26.9
End1.9
red by 12.1
8584
#29
21.30.7
18.517.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned