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Red98
634839.5
651054.7
453633.4
Blue114
299659.3
1068626.5
294530.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120975015020098114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+10
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
15Coral scored#17
55Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
79Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points6
98Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.72.2
45.243.0
Auto13.3
Teleop34.4
End7.0
blue by 4.6
59.30.1
49.449.3
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
Second
6348
#35
39.52.0
36.334.4
Auto5.8
Teleop32.2
End1.5
red by 9.2
2945
#21
30.30.1
23.323.2
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End1.7
Third
4536
#31
33.43.3
25.622.4
Auto5.4
Teleop25.8
End2.2
red by 6.9
26.58.9
26.517.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned