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Red122
226120.0
462436.5
634839.5
Blue85
372919.4
222044.7
955219.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10310670809011012013014012285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +23
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points54
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
91Total teleop68
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
2Foul points0
122Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6348
#35
39.51.6
35.737.3
Auto5.8
Teleop32.2
End1.5
blue by 5.2
2220
#18
44.70.7
40.639.9
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End0.9
Second
4624
#19
36.52.6
30.833.4
Auto9.8
Teleop25.6
End1.2
red by 17.0
9552
#41
19.51.2
23.822.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Third
2261
#42
20.02.6
18.521.1
Auto3.7
Teleop16.9
End-0.6
red by 0.6
3729
#47
19.41.2
20.119.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed