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Red93
942742.2
380716.1
455029.8
Blue72
858421.3
748526.6
105621.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97650501502009372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
62Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#2
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points0
93Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9427
#13
42.20.1
39.839.9
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End0.8
red by 15.6
7485
#28
26.61.2
23.624.8
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End2.2
Second
4550
#24
29.80.1
31.231.3
Auto4.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 8.1
1056
#32
21.70.7
16.517.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End4.6
Third
3807
#30
16.10.2
14.514.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 5.2
8584
#29
21.30.7
21.222.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed