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Red103
294530.3
224049.7
747919.5
Blue111
364828.1
833433.3
906835.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949560708090100110120130103111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#7
18Processor points6
12Net points28
30Algae points34
70Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
103Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#22
49.71.4
47.348.7
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End0.1
red by 13.8
35.93.5
29.132.6
Auto5.6
Teleop28.6
End1.7
Second
2945
#21
30.31.4
25.326.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End1.7
blue by 3.0
8334
#20
33.33.5
27.330.7
Auto4.5
Teleop26.9
End1.9
Third
7479
#46
19.52.3
9.712.0
Auto2.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
blue by 8.5
28.12.1
23.225.3
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned