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Qual 432025 Colorado Regional
Red56
130318.3
438842.3
450122.1
Blue91
651054.7
66223.0
208333.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751110501001505691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+33
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +30
8Coral scored#12
28Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
38Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#6
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
56Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#26
42.31.1
41.7→40.7
Auto10.9
Teleop29.2
End2.1
blue by 12.4
6510
#5
54.70.3
48.7→48.4
Auto13.3
Teleop34.4
End7.0
Second
4501
#45
22.11.8
15.0→13.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.5
End0.8
blue by 11.0
2083
#33
33.10.6
29.1→28.6
Auto5.6
Teleop26.1
End1.5
Third
1303
#25
18.31.8
15.0→13.2
Auto2.8
Teleop13.5
End2.0
blue by 4.8
662
#48
23.00.6
18.2→17.6
Auto2.5
Teleop16.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed