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Red160
670650.2
299659.3
406853.3
Blue97
203646.0
141031.5
179916.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1507405010020016097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+63Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
6Leave0
10Coral scored#4
52Coral points20
58Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +25
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
18Processor points6
24Net points16
42Algae points22
86Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
160Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.31.7
51.753.5
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
red by 13.3
2036
#15
46.01.4
37.939.2
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
Second
4068
#10
53.32.9
38.841.7
Auto15.4
Teleop35.3
End2.7
red by 21.9
1410
#23
31.51.4
24.625.9
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End2.9
Third
50.21.7
43.445.1
Auto17.2
Teleop30.8
End2.2
red by 33.6
1799
#50
16.62.3
14.216.4
Auto2.5
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned