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Red131
449971.9
197713.8
320022.4
Blue110
429328.5
958523.7
1068626.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12867050100150200131110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+11Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points51
1Processor algae#5
4Net algae#4
6Processor points30
16Net points16
22Algae points46
87Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
131Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.90.6
65.866.4
Auto19.7
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 43.4
4293
#27
28.51.7
23.425.1
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End0.4
Second
3200
#39
22.40.6
19.920.5
Auto3.1
Teleop19.2
End0.1
blue by 4.1
26.52.8
18.321.1
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End1.5
Third
1977
#37
13.80.9
15.716.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 9.9
9585
#49
23.72.8
19.722.5
Auto3.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed