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Red103
328443.0
133954.8
741526.4
Blue149
406853.3
690747.2
225919.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210950150200250103149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+50
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave6
3Coral scored#8
13Coral points38
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +22
14Coral scored#19
49Coral points67
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
12Processor points24
20Net points12
32Algae points36
81Total teleop103
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#9
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#34
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
103Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#11
54.81.7
47.045.3
Auto10.8
Teleop41.6
End2.4
red by 1.4
4068
#10
53.34.5
41.746.2
Auto15.4
Teleop35.3
End2.7
Second
43.01.0
36.335.3
Auto7.8
Teleop33.2
End2.0
blue by 4.2
47.22.7
41.544.2
Auto13.1
Teleop32.7
End1.5
Third
7415
#36
26.41.0
23.622.6
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
red by 7.1
2259
#44
19.24.5
13.818.4
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed