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Red101
453633.4
958627.7
459340.3
Blue94
1033326.2
203646.0
182225.4
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068705015010194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
12Processor points12
4Net points4
16Algae points16
69Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
101Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#16
40.30.6
39.840.4
Auto11.7
Teleop23.1
End5.6
blue by 5.7
2036
#15
46.01.0
39.240.3
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
Second
4536
#31
33.41.0
28.429.4
Auto5.4
Teleop25.8
End2.2
red by 7.2
26.21.0
22.423.5
Auto2.9
Teleop23.0
End0.3
Third
9586
#17
27.71.0
23.924.9
Auto2.5
Teleop23.2
End2.0
red by 2.3
1822
#43
25.41.7
16.718.4
Auto2.1
Teleop21.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned