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Red52
438842.3
955219.5
748526.6
Blue89
224049.7
858421.3
372919.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071020501502002503003504005289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
35Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points6
52Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#26
42.32.4
40.738.3
Auto10.9
Teleop29.2
End2.1
blue by 7.4
2240
#22
49.70.4
48.748.3
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End0.1
Second
7485
#28
26.64.0
24.820.8
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End2.2
red by 5.3
8584
#29
21.30.4
22.021.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
Third
9552
#41
19.54.0
22.618.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End2.0
red by 0.1
3729
#47
19.40.7
19.018.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed