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Red84
66223.0
15929.3
380716.1
Blue97
226120.0
364828.1
294530.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628220401001201408497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+23
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
9Coral scored#16
31Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
59Total teleop78
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#4
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
84Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
#34
29.31.8
24.726.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.6
End7.5
blue by 1.1
2945
#21
30.30.8
26.727.5
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End1.7
Second
662
#48
23.01.8
17.619.4
Auto2.5
Teleop16.6
End4.0
blue by 5.0
28.10.8
25.326.2
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5
Third
3807
#30
16.11.8
14.616.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 3.9
2261
#42
20.01.4
21.122.5
Auto3.7
Teleop16.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed