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Qual 532025 Colorado Regional
Red82
320022.4
105621.7
141031.5
Blue136
130318.3
906835.9
299659.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6511605010015020082136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+32
Endgame+40
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +22
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points47
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
12Processor points18
8Net points24
20Algae points42
67Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points14
82Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#23
31.51.2
26.3→27.5
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End2.9
blue by 27.8
2996
#3
59.31.5
53.5→55.0
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
Second
3200
#39
22.41.2
20.5→21.7
Auto3.1
Teleop19.2
End0.1
blue by 13.5
9068
#9
35.92.5
32.6→35.1
Auto5.6
Teleop28.6
End1.7
Third
1056
#32
21.71.2
17.2→18.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End4.6
red by 3.5
1303
#25
18.32.5
13.2→15.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned