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Red124
942742.2
741526.4
833433.3
Blue110
634839.5
429328.5
549319.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079320406080120140160180124110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+16Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
18Coral scored#19
65Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
97Total teleop92
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#6
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points2
124Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9427
#13
42.21.5
39.941.4
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End0.8
red by 2.7
6348
#35
39.51.2
37.338.5
Auto5.8
Teleop32.2
End1.5
Second
8334
#20
33.32.5
30.733.3
Auto4.5
Teleop26.9
End1.9
red by 4.8
4293
#27
28.51.2
25.126.3
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End0.4
Third
7415
#36
26.41.5
22.624.1
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
red by 7.0
5493
#40
19.32.0
18.620.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed