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Red115
455029.8
179916.6
449971.9
Blue83
225919.2
453633.4
441826.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134735010015020011583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
15Coral scored#12
53Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
77Total teleop68
Reef
10L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
4Foul points0
115Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.90.6
66.465.8
Auto19.7
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 38.5
4536
#31
33.40.7
29.430.1
Auto5.4
Teleop25.8
End2.2
Second
4550
#24
29.80.6
31.330.7
Auto4.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 3.9
4418
#12
26.00.4
24.024.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Third
1799
#50
16.61.0
16.415.4
Auto2.5
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 2.7
2259
#44
19.20.7
18.419.0
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed