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Qual 562025 Colorado Regional
Red117
958523.7
406853.3
462436.5
Blue146
651054.7
747919.5
690747.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112114100110120130140117146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
14Coral scored#18
49Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
81Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#10
7L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
117Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#10
53.31.7
46.2→47.9
Auto15.4
Teleop35.3
End2.7
blue by 1.3
6510
#5
54.72.8
48.4→51.1
Auto13.3
Teleop34.4
End7.0
Second
4624
#19
36.51.7
33.4→35.0
Auto9.8
Teleop25.6
End1.2
blue by 10.7
6907
#8
47.22.8
44.2→46.9
Auto13.1
Teleop32.7
End1.5
Third
9585
#49
23.71.7
22.5→24.2
Auto3.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
red by 4.2
7479
#46
19.54.6
12.0→16.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned