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Red105
450122.1
1033326.2
328443.0
Blue128
222044.7
459340.3
161965.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72162050100150200105128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+7
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +11
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points41
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
18Processor points18
8Net points16
26Algae points34
86Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#7
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
105Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.8
35.337.1
Auto7.8
Teleop33.2
End2.0
blue by 22.1
65.11.2
60.359.1
Auto16.5
Teleop40.3
End8.2
Second
26.21.8
23.525.3
Auto2.9
Teleop23.0
End0.3
blue by 18.5
2220
#18
44.71.2
39.938.8
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End0.9
Third
4501
#45
22.13.0
13.316.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.5
End0.8
blue by 18.2
4593
#16
40.31.2
40.439.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned