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Red125
958627.7
294530.3
906835.9
Blue57
197713.8
226120.0
549319.3
85%Model gave it15%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1056805015012557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+66Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +60
19Coral scored#8
68Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
108Total teleop48
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
125Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.8
35.136.9
Auto5.6
Teleop28.6
End1.7
red by 15.9
2261
#42
20.02.3
22.520.2
Auto3.7
Teleop16.9
End-0.6
Second
2945
#21
30.31.2
27.528.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End1.7
red by 11.0
5493
#40
19.32.3
20.618.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End1.1
Third
9586
#17
27.71.9
24.926.8
Auto2.5
Teleop23.2
End2.0
red by 13.9
1977
#37
13.82.4
16.714.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed