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Red111
858421.3
225919.2
449971.9
Blue105
634839.5
66223.0
320022.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12988050100150200111105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+4Teleop
+12Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
60Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points6
111Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.90.1
65.865.7
Auto19.7
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 32.4
6348
#35
39.50.9
38.539.4
Auto5.8
Teleop32.2
End1.5
Second
8584
#29
21.30.1
21.521.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
blue by 1.8
662
#48
23.01.5
19.420.9
Auto2.5
Teleop16.6
End4.0
Third
2259
#44
19.20.1
19.018.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 3.1
3200
#39
22.40.9
21.722.7
Auto3.1
Teleop19.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed