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Red127
224049.7
453633.4
429328.5
Blue128
15929.3
462436.5
651054.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11712680100140160180127128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+11Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
20Coral scored#18
72Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
6Processor points6
24Net points20
30Algae points26
102Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#8
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
127Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#22
49.71.5
48.349.8
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End0.1
blue by 5.0
54.71.0
51.152.2
Auto13.3
Teleop34.4
End7.0
Second
4536
#31
33.42.3
30.132.4
Auto5.4
Teleop25.8
End2.2
blue by 3.1
4624
#19
36.51.6
35.036.6
Auto9.8
Teleop25.6
End1.2
Third
4293
#27
28.51.5
26.327.8
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End0.4
blue by 0.8
159
#34
29.31.6
26.428.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned