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Red107
748526.6
364828.1
441826.0
Blue105
182225.4
406853.3
105621.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions729720406080120140160107105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+12
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +13
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
67Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
107Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.12.2
26.228.4
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5
blue by 25.3
4068
#10
53.31.4
47.949.3
Auto15.4
Teleop35.3
End2.7
Second
7485
#28
26.63.4
20.824.2
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End2.2
red by 1.2
1822
#43
25.41.4
22.423.8
Auto2.1
Teleop21.6
End1.7
Third
4418
#12
26.02.2
24.426.6
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End5.5
red by 4.2
1056
#32
21.70.9
18.419.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed