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Red100
1068626.5
130318.3
208333.1
Blue93
955219.5
179916.6
741526.4
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957205015020010093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
18Coral scored#12
65Coral points43
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#3
6Processor points24
16Net points12
22Algae points36
87Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
100Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#33
33.10.3
32.532.3
Auto5.6
Teleop26.1
End1.5
red by 6.7
7415
#36
26.40.7
24.124.9
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Second
26.50.3
25.325.1
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End1.5
red by 7.0
9552
#41
19.51.1
18.619.7
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Third
1303
#25
18.30.3
15.815.5
Auto2.8
Teleop13.5
End2.0
red by 1.7
1799
#50
16.61.1
15.416.5
Auto2.5
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed