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Red86
833433.3
958523.7
455029.8
Blue126
328443.0
372919.4
670650.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97121608014016018020086126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+38
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +28
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points50
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
6Processor points24
8Net points20
14Algae points44
66Total teleop94
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#27
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
86Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8334
#20
33.30.8
33.332.5
Auto4.5
Teleop26.9
End1.9
blue by 16.9
50.20.7
48.148.8
Auto17.2
Teleop30.8
End2.2
Second
4550
#24
29.80.5
30.730.2
Auto4.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
blue by 13.2
43.00.7
37.137.8
Auto7.8
Teleop33.2
End2.0
Third
9585
#49
23.70.8
24.223.4
Auto3.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
red by 4.4
3729
#47
19.41.1
18.219.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed