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Red155
203646.0
942742.2
133954.8
Blue134
438842.3
222044.7
747919.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1489250200250155134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+11Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points17
37Total auto26
Teleoperatedlevel
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
104Total teleop104
Reef
9L4#8
9L3#7
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
155Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#11
54.81.3
49.250.5
Auto10.8
Teleop41.6
End2.4
red by 10.1
2220
#18
44.72.2
38.840.9
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End0.9
Second
2036
#15
46.00.8
42.843.6
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
red by 3.8
4388
#26
42.32.2
38.340.4
Auto10.9
Teleop29.2
End2.1
Third
9427
#13
42.20.8
41.442.3
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End0.8
red by 22.7
7479
#46
19.53.4
16.620.0
Auto2.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed