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Red86
459340.3
1033326.2
364828.1
Blue139
299659.3
141031.5
429328.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921205015020086139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+31
Endgame+35
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
61Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#9
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points18
86Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#16
40.30.5
39.238.7
Auto11.7
Teleop23.1
End5.6
blue by 19.0
59.30.7
55.055.7
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
Second
28.10.5
28.427.9
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5
blue by 3.4
1410
#23
31.50.7
27.528.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End2.9
Third
26.20.5
25.324.8
Auto2.9
Teleop23.0
End0.3
blue by 2.3
4293
#27
28.50.7
27.828.5
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed