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Qual 682025 Colorado Regional
Red69
955219.5
858421.3
226120.0
Blue120
406853.3
549319.3
453633.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7312405010015020069120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+47
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +26
9Coral scored#16
32Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
56Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
4Foul points4
69Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8584
#29
21.30.2
21.4→21.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
blue by 32.1
4068
#10
53.31.0
49.3→50.3
Auto15.4
Teleop35.3
End2.7
Second
2261
#42
20.00.2
20.2→20.0
Auto3.7
Teleop16.9
End-0.6
blue by 13.4
4536
#31
33.41.0
32.4→33.4
Auto5.4
Teleop25.8
End2.2
Third
9552
#41
19.50.2
19.7→19.5
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End2.0
red by 0.2
5493
#40
19.31.0
18.3→19.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed