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Red107
741526.4
459340.3
66223.0
Blue112
380716.1
224049.7
462436.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91112406080100120140160180107112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+17
+7Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +10
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
65Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#23
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points12
107Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#16
40.31.5
38.740.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.1
End5.6
blue by 9.4
2240
#22
49.70.2
49.849.6
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End0.1
Second
7415
#36
26.41.5
24.926.4
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
blue by 10.2
4624
#19
36.50.3
36.636.4
Auto9.8
Teleop25.6
End1.2
Third
662
#48
23.02.2
20.923.0
Auto2.5
Teleop16.6
End4.0
red by 6.9
3807
#30
16.10.3
16.416.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed