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Red159
133954.8
299659.3
441826.0
Blue100
208333.1
958627.7
833433.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610050200159100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
23Coral scored#19
82Coral points69
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
112Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#6
10L3#6
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
6Foul points0
159Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.31.3
55.757.0
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
red by 26.0
8334
#20
33.30.8
32.533.3
Auto4.5
Teleop26.9
End1.9
Second
1339
#11
54.81.9
50.552.5
Auto10.8
Teleop41.6
End2.4
red by 21.7
2083
#33
33.10.8
32.333.1
Auto5.6
Teleop26.1
End1.5
Third
4418
#12
26.01.3
26.627.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End5.5
blue by 1.7
9586
#17
27.70.9
26.827.7
Auto2.5
Teleop23.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed