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Red105
670650.2
450122.1
197713.8
Blue65
320022.4
1033326.2
747919.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927105015020010565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
0Processor points6
16Net points8
16Algae points14
41Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
30Foul points2
105Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.20.3
48.848.5
Auto17.2
Teleop30.8
End2.2
red by 24.0
26.20.3
24.824.5
Auto2.9
Teleop23.0
End0.3
Second
4501
#45
22.10.4
16.315.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.5
End0.8
blue by 0.2
3200
#39
22.40.3
22.722.4
Auto3.1
Teleop19.2
End0.1
Third
1977
#37
13.80.4
14.313.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 5.7
7479
#46
19.50.4
20.019.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed