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Red145
1068626.5
141031.5
222044.7
Blue142
294530.3
161965.1
748526.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081366080100120160180200145142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points27
29Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#21
42Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
80Total teleop96
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#9
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
30Foul points0
145Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#18
44.71.0
40.941.9
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End0.9
blue by 20.4
65.11.7
59.160.7
Auto16.5
Teleop40.3
End8.2
Second
1410
#23
31.51.0
28.229.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End2.9
red by 1.1
2945
#21
30.31.7
28.730.3
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End1.7
Third
26.51.4
25.126.5
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End1.5
blue by 0.1
7485
#28
26.62.4
24.226.6
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned