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Red184
406853.3
299659.3
141031.5
Blue172
203646.0
328443.0
222044.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14813650100200250300184172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points24
37Total auto33
Teleoperatedlevel
24Coral scored#23
85Coral points83
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
24Processor points18
16Net points24
40Algae points42
125Total teleop125
Reef
15L4#12
5L3#9
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#37
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points0
184Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.9
57.058.0
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
red by 13.3
2036
#15
46.01.0
43.244.3
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
Second
4068
#10
53.31.2
50.351.6
Auto15.4
Teleop35.3
End2.7
red by 8.6
2220
#18
44.71.0
41.942.9
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End0.9
Third
1410
#23
31.50.9
29.230.1
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End2.9
blue by 11.5
43.01.0
40.241.3
Auto7.8
Teleop33.2
End2.0