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Red68
906835.9
942742.2
441826.0
Blue118
364828.1
462436.5
224049.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411970809010011013014015068118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+60
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave6
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points31
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
48Total teleop77
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#4
3L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
68Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9427
#13
42.20.9
43.142.2
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End0.8
blue by 7.5
2240
#22
49.70.1
49.249.3
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End0.1
Second
35.91.2
37.035.9
Auto5.6
Teleop28.6
End1.7
blue by 0.6
4624
#19
36.50.2
35.936.1
Auto9.8
Teleop25.6
End1.2
Third
4418
#12
26.00.9
26.826.0
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End5.5
blue by 2.1
28.10.1
27.627.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5