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Red146
15929.3
690747.2
438842.3
Blue176
203646.0
328443.0
222044.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12514480100160180200146176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points30
37Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +19
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points68
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#9
18Processor points18
28Net points36
46Algae points54
103Total teleop122
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#7
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points2
146Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.7
46.647.2
Auto13.1
Teleop32.7
End1.5
red by 1.2
2036
#15
46.01.0
44.345.3
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
Second
4388
#26
42.30.7
41.642.3
Auto10.9
Teleop29.2
End2.1
blue by 2.4
2220
#18
44.71.0
42.944.0
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End0.9
Third
159
#34
29.30.9
28.429.3
Auto3.1
Teleop18.6
End7.5
blue by 13.7
43.01.0
41.342.3
Auto7.8
Teleop33.2
End2.0