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Red152
459340.3
651054.7
634839.5
Blue195
203646.0
328443.0
222044.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145147140150160170180190152195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+43
Endgame+45
Fouls+43
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
30Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +44
23Coral scored#33
82Coral points118
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
106Total teleop150
Reef
12L4#14
6L3#11
6L2#9
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +43
2Foul points0
152Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.1
54.654.7
Auto13.3
Teleop34.4
End7.0
red by 8.6
2036
#15
46.01.2
45.346.5
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End7.3
Second
4593
#16
40.30.1
40.240.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.1
End5.6
blue by 4.4
2220
#18
44.71.2
44.045.1
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End0.9
Third
6348
#35
39.50.1
39.539.5
Auto5.8
Teleop32.2
End1.5
blue by 3.5
43.01.2
42.343.5
Auto7.8
Teleop33.2
End2.0