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Red170
406853.3
299659.3
141031.5
Blue135
364828.1
462436.5
224049.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153110100200170135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+37Teleop
+41Endgame
+35Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +37
25Coral scored#17
91Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
123Total teleop86
Reef
15L4#6
5L3#9
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#29
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points6
170Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.6
58.859.4
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
red by 9.6
2240
#22
49.70.4
49.349.7
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End0.1
Second
4068
#10
53.30.8
52.753.5
Auto15.4
Teleop35.3
End2.7
red by 16.8
4624
#19
36.50.5
36.136.5
Auto9.8
Teleop25.6
End1.2
Third
1410
#23
31.50.6
31.031.6
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End2.9
red by 3.4
28.10.4
27.728.1
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5