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Red167
449984.5
455022.2
406872.3
Blue159
161967.9
133953.0
593320.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197147100250300167159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +15
23Coral scored#22
81Coral points80
5Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
30Processor points12
12Net points16
42Algae points28
123Total teleop108
Reef
10L4#12
9L3#9
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
167Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.50.3
84.884.5
Auto19.7
Teleop53.1
End11.7
red by 16.6
67.90.4
67.567.9
Auto18.3
Teleop40.6
End9.0
Second
72.30.3
72.672.3
Auto21.6
Teleop47.8
End2.9
red by 19.4
53.00.4
52.653.0
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End1.7
Third
4550
#38
22.20.3
22.522.2
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 1.6
5933
#26
20.60.4
20.320.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6