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Red78
429311.1
161967.9
958624.6
Blue60
438830.1
455022.2
208337.1
76%Model gave it24%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431010502007860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
57Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points2
78Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.92.9
69.866.9
Auto18.3
Teleop40.6
End9.0
red by 30.8
37.12.5
32.029.4
Auto8.3
Teleop22.5
End6.3
Second
9586
#14
24.63.9
26.322.4
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End0.2
blue by 5.4
4388
#31
30.12.5
37.034.5
Auto6.8
Teleop22.1
End1.2
Third
4293
#37
11.12.9
26.123.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End0.4
blue by 11.1
4550
#38
22.22.5
27.024.4
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
59%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed