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Red23
441815.5
99971.1
1068614.6
Blue51
999518.6
998610.6
182212.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574802040801001202351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+32
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +25
3Coral scored#8
9Coral points30
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
13Total teleop38
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
23Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4418
#32
15.51.9
23.922.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End5.8
blue by 3.1
9995
#18
18.61.6
10.812.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Second
14.62.3
19.517.2
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End1.1
red by 2.4
1822
#30
12.21.2
18.419.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End1.4
Third
9997
#33
1.13.2
5.72.5
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.7
End0.1
blue by 9.5
9986
#24
10.61.6
4.66.1
Auto2.1
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed