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Red86
141033.6
224026.3
955131.4
Blue65
593320.6
906832.1
999316.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1305001001502002508665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
12Processor points12
16Net points4
28Algae points16
76Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points2
86Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#10
33.62.0
30.128.1
Auto7.4
Teleop24.2
End2.0
red by 1.5
9068
#20
32.11.2
33.532.3
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End-0.2
Second
9551
#25
31.42.0
29.127.1
Auto6.8
Teleop23.1
End1.4
red by 10.7
5933
#26
20.61.0
22.021.0
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6
Third
2240
#40
26.32.0
48.246.1
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End0.6
red by 9.8
9993
#21
16.51.7
10.89.1
Auto1.4
Teleop13.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed