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Red76
833427.4
364828.0
748515.2
Blue65
441815.5
141033.6
593320.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76730501001502002503003507665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
51Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
76Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3648
#12
28.00.3
24.223.9
Auto7.7
Teleop15.0
End5.2
blue by 5.7
1410
#10
33.60.8
28.127.3
Auto7.4
Teleop24.2
End2.0
Second
8334
#28
27.40.3
29.429.0
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.7
red by 6.7
5933
#26
20.60.8
21.020.3
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6
Third
7485
#13
15.20.3
21.020.7
Auto1.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 0.3
4418
#32
15.50.8
22.021.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed