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Red66
998610.6
203647.4
438830.1
Blue86
1068614.6
999936.9
999117.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1274301001502002506686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +21
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
48Total teleop69
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
66Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.42.1
56.454.3
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End9.7
red by 10.4
36.94.9
15.520.4
Auto10.5
Teleop25.4
End1.1
Second
4388
#31
30.12.1
34.532.4
Auto6.8
Teleop22.1
End1.2
red by 12.3
9991
#17Sur
17.84.9
9.514.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End0.6
Third
9986
#24Sur
10.63.4
6.12.7
Auto2.1
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 4.0
14.63.2
17.220.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed