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Red143
906832.1
364828.0
161967.9
Blue108
999518.6
833427.4
197719.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152430100200143108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
19Coral scored#13
68Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
12Processor points12
24Net points28
36Algae points40
104Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#5
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
143Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.8
66.767.5
Auto18.3
Teleop40.6
End9.0
red by 40.5
8334
#28
27.43.3
29.032.3
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.7
Second
9068
#20
32.10.8
29.430.2
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End-0.2
red by 12.4
1977
#11
19.73.6
10.313.9
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End3.5
Third
3648
#12
28.00.8
23.924.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.0
End5.2
red by 9.4
9995
#18
18.65.5
8.313.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed