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Red87
494434.5
999117.8
224026.3
Blue86
324540.1
299657.1
182212.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991210501502008786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+23
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
50Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
24Foul points0
87Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.52.0
37.335.2
Auto5.4
Teleop24.1
End5.0
blue by 22.6
2996
#16
57.11.8
55.053.2
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.7
Second
2240
#40
26.32.0
41.939.8
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End0.6
blue by 13.8
40.11.8
41.139.3
Auto8.3
Teleop28.9
End2.9
Third
9991
#17
17.83.4
14.310.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End0.6
red by 5.5
1822
#30
12.21.8
17.315.5
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned