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Red156
998610.6
449984.5
406872.3
Blue68
438830.1
593320.6
549314.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19157010015025030015668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+92Teleop
+106Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +61
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points36
4Processor algae#0
8Net algae#2
24Processor points0
32Net points8
56Algae points8
105Total teleop44
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#13
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points18
156Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.50.2
77.477.6
Auto19.7
Teleop53.1
End11.7
red by 54.4
4388
#31
30.11.1
32.431.3
Auto6.8
Teleop22.1
End1.2
Second
72.30.2
72.272.5
Auto21.6
Teleop47.8
End2.9
red by 51.7
5933
#26
20.61.1
19.618.5
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6
Third
9986
#24
10.60.4
2.73.1
Auto2.1
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 3.4
5493
#35
14.01.1
14.713.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed