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Red58
999518.6
99909.3
99971.1
Blue56
320022.8
372915.3
364828.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172204060801001201405856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +3
5Coral scored#5
18Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
18Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
20Foul points18
58Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9995
#18
18.62.2
13.816.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End1.5
blue by 9.4
3648
#12
28.01.4
24.723.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.0
End5.2
Second
9990
#39
9.32.2
3.15.3
Auto1.0
Teleop7.3
End1.1
blue by 13.5
3200
#19
22.81.4
16.615.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
Third
9997
#33
1.12.2
1.03.3
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.7
End0.1
blue by 14.1
3729
#34
15.31.4
17.916.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
0%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned