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Red89
999316.5
197719.7
299657.1
Blue39
1068614.6
66211.7
833427.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85772040601001201408939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+42Teleop
+44Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +32
12Coral scored#6
44Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
64Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
5L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
6Foul points0
89Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#16
57.10.3
53.253.5
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.7
red by 29.7
8334
#28
27.41.8
32.330.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.7
Second
1977
#11
19.70.3
13.914.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End3.5
red by 5.0
14.61.8
18.817.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End1.1
Third
9993
#21
16.50.5
11.512.0
Auto1.4
Teleop13.7
End1.5
red by 4.8
662
#36
11.71.8
14.412.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed