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Red128
141033.6
182212.2
161967.9
Blue32
549314.0
429311.1
324540.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1297105010015020012832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+72Teleop
+84Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave6
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +48
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
70Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
23Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
12Foul points0
128Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.3
67.567.8
Auto18.3
Teleop40.6
End9.0
red by 27.8
40.12.5
39.336.7
Auto8.3
Teleop28.9
End2.9
Second
1410
#10
33.60.3
28.628.9
Auto7.4
Teleop24.2
End2.0
red by 19.6
5493
#35
14.02.5
13.611.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Third
1822
#30
12.20.3
15.515.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End1.4
red by 1.2
4293
#37
11.12.5
17.314.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed