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Red42
438830.1
748515.2
224026.3
Blue90
203647.4
294521.7
494434.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941240501502004290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+34
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +31
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
31Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
42Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#31
30.13.3
31.328.0
Auto6.8
Teleop22.1
End1.2
blue by 17.3
47.41.7
52.851.2
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End9.7
Second
2240
#40
26.33.3
39.836.5
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End0.6
blue by 8.2
34.51.7
35.233.6
Auto5.4
Teleop24.1
End5.0
Third
7485
#13
15.23.3
17.314.0
Auto1.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 6.5
2945
#15
21.71.7
24.122.5
Auto3.3
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned