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Red82
593320.6
955131.4
999936.9
Blue124
299657.1
1033328.1
320022.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6611005015020082124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+34
Endgame+48
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
2Coral scored#4
11Coral points21
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
12Coral scored#17
42Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
56Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#6
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
6Foul points0
82Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.3
23.024.3
Auto10.5
Teleop25.4
End1.1
blue by 20.1
2996
#16
57.11.9
53.555.4
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.7
Second
9551
#25
31.40.8
22.523.3
Auto6.8
Teleop23.1
End1.4
red by 3.2
28.11.9
26.528.4
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End0.7
Third
5933
#26
20.60.8
18.519.3
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6
blue by 2.1
3200
#19
22.81.9
15.217.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned